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Globalization, American Wages, And Inequality

Submitted by lcoscare on April 21, 2008

Category: Technology
Words: 382 | Pages: 2
Views: 65
Popularity Rank: 102,657
Average Member Grade: N/A (Add a Comment / Grade this Paper)

A strange argument has begun making the rounds in the globalization debate, one that asserts there is a puzzle
in American politics: economics teaches that globalization leads to national gains, yet popular opinion is am
bivalent at best about it. This puzzle even comes with a plausible-sounding explanation: globalization’s benefits are huge but diffuse (consisting of lower prices for imported goods), while its costs are small but concentrated (workers displaced by imports); hence, the gains are hard to see but the losses are all too visible.
The alleged puzzle and the fashionable-again explanation forwarded to resolve it should sound strange to
economists, as they are clearly at odds with what the most conventional theory teaches about the likely results of the rich U.S. economy integrating with a poorer global economy. While this integration is indeed “win-win” in between countries, it is pitilessly “win-lose” in terms of individual outcomes within countries. That is, the U.S. and its poorer trading partners
both end up with higher national incomes due to trade, but at the same time, this trade makes many (and possibly most) workers in the U.S. worse-off. This sad result is known to trade economists as the “curse of Stolper-Samuelson,” named after the theory that predicts it.
This paper revisits the insights of Stolper-Samuelson and estimates the impact on American wages of trade flows between the rich U.S. economy and a poorer global economy. Estimates are derived using a relatively simple model
originally deployed by Krugman (1995) in the “trade and wages” debate that flared up in the early 1990s. Despite a rather conservative methodology, this paper finds that:
• Trade with poorer nations had by 1995 led to a rise in relative earnings of skills vis-à-vis labor of just under 5%,
relative to baseline of no trade with poor nations. This is an amount roughly equal to 12.5% of the...

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