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Energy Security

Decision Making in a Complex Environment
BQOM 2512

“Energy Security of the United States of America”
Using ANP with Dependence and Feedback

Final Report

April 6, 2004

Authors
Jose' D. Figueroa Daryl R. Wood
412-386-4966 724-265-3391
Jose.Figueroa@netl.doe.gov jswood@connecttime.net
1. Introduction:

There has been an ongoing debate in the United States of America ever since the Report of the National Energy Policy Development Group[1] was submitted for consideration by Vice President Dick Cheney to the President of the United States of America, George W. Bush on May 16, 2001. The statements and recommendations of the report has been so controversial that senate and house committee meetings have been held along with requests that the Vice President come before Congress, since its public release, to explain what was discussed behind closed doors.

Energy is a pivotal factor in society and will continue in the future so long as humanity is driven to a materialistic end and develops technologies to meet those needs which are powered and constructed by energy. With the aforementioned said, we, as a nation, face a serious problem in the near future. How do we sustain the constant growth of the United States of America? What fuels will power our vehicles, heat our homes, and generated the electricity we have taken as an entitlement every time we flip the switch and the lights turn on?

The Analytical Network Process model titled, “Energy Security of the US”, was developed to provide statistical support to our intuition and judgment based on our knowledge and expertise of the subject matter. The model takes into account all of the significant factors and forces that our intuition indicate would influence the direction of the United States of America Energy Policy. This model was not designed to justify the aforementioned National Energy Policy submitted by Vice President Cheney, but to determine which of four...