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China Economics Exchange Rate

Submitted by pesfan9 on May 22, 2008

Category: Social Issues
Words: 1769 | Pages: 8
Views: 62
Popularity Rank: 101,018
Average Member Grade: N/A (Add a Comment / Grade this Paper)

Why do top U.S. economic officials, such as Fed Chair Alan Greenspan and Treasury Secretary John Snow, want their Chinese counterparts to revalue the yuan (renminbi)? American officials and a wide range of American economists argue that the yuan is undervalued vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar (to which the yuan is pegged at a rate of approximately 8.28 yuan per dollar). The basis for their argument that the renminbi (RMB) is undervalued is the very large trade surplus that China has with the United States and the concomitant buildup of dollar based asset reserves of China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), and other financial institutions. China has accumulated about $350 billion in foreign-currency reserves and over $122 billion in U.S. government bonds. In other words, China is using its trade imbalance with the United States to become one of the biggest creditors to the U.S. government (although this is only possible because the U.S. government is currently suffering from a form of ADD -- American Deficit Disorder). This mutual dependence creates unique financial risks for the United States and provides the Chinese government with a significant amount of leverage over the U.S. government.

And there's the rub. This is why the trade imbalance is a problem. Indeed, Japan and Germany have had a similar relationship with the United States, using a trade imbalance as the basis for accumulating U.S. government bonds and then using their bond holdings as a lever to "encourage" the U.S. government to take policy stands that were more to their liking. Japan's central bank still holds more U.S. government bonds than any other non-U.S. institution and the total value of Japanese institutional holdings of U.S. government bonds are more than three and a half times those of China, indicating a much longer-term drain of dollars from the U.S. to Japan than anything yet experienced between the U.S. and China. If for some reason the Japanese central bank...

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